The Labour Party’s (LP) front-runner, Peter Obi, has maintained a lead in the third and final national survey, which was commissioned by Anap Foundation and carried out by NOI Polls Limited (NOIPolls) ahead of the February 25 presidential election.
Atedo Peterside, the President and Founder of Anap Foundation, revealed the results of the most recent poll on Wednesday.
Following two earlier polls conducted in September and December 2022, a third poll that was completed in the first half of February 2023.
The technique utilized by NOI surveys is nearly identical to the approach that was used in previous presidential polls that they handled for us in 2011, 2015, and 2019, according to a statement from Anap.
“In all those prior presidential surveys, the front-runner who was predicted by our polls ultimately prevailed in the elections, despite the fact that a sizable portion of voters remained undecided and/or refused to declare their preference.
In our numerous governorship polls conducted in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2019, and 2022, we used the same same process, and it generally worked well.
With Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) both trailing him, Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) emerged as the “lone outsider,” according to Anap’s third and final poll results from February 2023.
|Poll Question: Suppose the presidential election is being conducted today, who are you likely to vote for?|
|Total (%)||Distribution across Geo-Political Zones||Poll Ranking|
|North Central||North East||North West||South East||South South||South West|
|Peter Obi (LP)||21%||24%||6%||8%||53%||38%||14%||1st|
|Bola Tinubu (APC)||13%||16%||16%||20%||1%||3%||15%||2nd|
|Atiku Abubakar (PDP)||10%||4%||17%||20%||3%||5%||3%||3rd|
|Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP)||3%||1%||4%||8%||0%||1%||0%||4th|
|Source: NOIPolls – February2023|
“Obi is in the lead with 21% of registered voters saying they would support him if the presidential election were held today; Tinubu came in second with 13% of the vote. Atiku came in third with 10%, and Kwankwaso came in a distant fourth with 3% of the vote.
“Mr. Peter Obi’s 8%-point advantage at this juncture is impressive, but not enough to separate him from a leading pack of candidates scoring 13%, 10%, and 3%, given the sizable pool of undecided voters and/or those who declined to state their preferred choice.
Undecided voters make up a staggering 23% of the electorate, while 30% of voters want to remain anonymous. According to the gender breakdown of registered voters, 27% of women and 18% of men are unsure, according to Anap.